Jury predictions (14 November 2009)

Based on 84 observations of the judges we calculated the probabilities of each contestant staying in the show. Our results only reflex the jury's evaluation and (as we have shown before) these ratings have low predictive power. Nonetheless, here is the most recent list of the rankings by Dannii, Cheryl, Louis and Simon taken together, lets see if they are correct this time

Who will be on the chair this time?
Well, if we follow the judges we predict that John & Edward, Loydd and Jamie are the most likely to hit the chair, see graph below